Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.082459 0.095260 0.109387 0.126137 0.145458 0.167049 0.193019
2026-01-11 0.062841 0.080187 0.101291 0.128864 0.163961 0.207181 0.264520
2026-01-18 0.051590 0.070579 0.095312 0.129901 0.177077 0.239260 0.327630
2026-01-25 0.043094 0.062395 0.088971 0.128257 0.184938 0.263908 0.382608
2026-02-01 0.036080 0.054866 0.082005 0.124095 0.187852 0.281044 0.428095
2026-02-08 0.032198 0.051158 0.079753 0.126047 0.199295 0.311056 0.495251
2026-02-15 0.028727 0.047508 0.076964 0.126560 0.208217 0.337787 0.559991
2026-02-22 0.026086 0.044769 0.075152 0.128201 0.218819 0.367917 0.633197
2026-03-01 0.023077 0.041001 0.071152 0.125613 0.221900 0.385787 0.687591
2026-03-08 0.020622 0.037853 0.067781 0.123594 0.225526 0.404657 0.745421
2026-03-15 0.019004 0.035982 0.066375 0.124807 0.234860 0.434221 0.825353
2026-03-22 0.018201 0.035494 0.067363 0.130433 0.252773 0.480908 0.941886
2026-03-29 0.017120 0.034386 0.067135 0.133850 0.267113 0.522906 1.055195
2026-04-05 0.016070 0.033216 0.066662 0.136746 0.280794 0.565178 1.174160
2026-04-12 0.014932 0.031727 0.065384 0.137846 0.290931 0.601444 1.284950
2026-04-19 0.013630 0.029741 0.062876 0.136101 0.294946 0.625650 1.373191
2026-04-26 0.012226 0.027370 0.059307 0.131685 0.292757 0.636647 1.434193
2026-05-03 0.011537 0.026479 0.058767 0.133755 0.304835 0.679133 1.569124
2026-05-10 0.010786 0.025361 0.057607 0.134300 0.313534 0.715084 1.693255
2026-05-17 0.010194 0.024538 0.057010 0.136042 0.325115 0.758584 1.839628
2026-05-24 0.009338 0.022995 0.054609 0.133296 0.325872 0.777366 1.929389
2026-05-31 0.008604 0.021664 0.052557 0.131153 0.327818 0.799076 2.028639
2026-06-07 0.008147 0.020966 0.051939 0.132439 0.338291 0.842214 2.186006